Thursday, September 29, 2005

monKEYS to the Game

A big question faces the Seahawks this week; will they be two and two or three and one heading into the most important game of the season?
While in my mind, and on paper, I look at the Redskins and think that they are really no better (and not much different) than the Cardinals at least talent wise, there are some things that we will have to overcome this week that we didn't last week, such as crowd noise, another long trip to the east coast, and a legendary head coach whose team has been quite lucky, but is playing with some confidence, having not lost and coming off of a bye week. Also it would be very easy to look forward to next weeks game, which is the far more important game for this team, and which will no doubt, be a real measuring stick of just how good we can be this year.
So with those differences and factors in mind I present monKEYS key to the game week 4.

monKEY #1 for entire team: We must not look past this team to next week. Granted next weeks game is HUGE but it would be so much better going into that game with a winning record and a swagger. This is another one of those games that we should win on paper, we need to take care of business.
monKEY #2 for entire team: Avoid distractions and mental errors which tend to crop up on long road trips like this one.

monKEY #1 offense: Stay balanced even when early on it will be tempting to get pass happy. The Redskins do have a very good defense, and they will no doubt stack 8 in the box often to take away the run. I personally do not see us running roughshod over this defense the way that we did against the Tards. However, that does NOT mean that we should abandon the run, we must try to keep them honest, even when the passing game is successful, (as it no doubt will be).
monKEY #2 offense: Take advantage of our hieght avantage at reciever and tight end. Right now Darryl Jackson is hot RED HOT, and he will no doubt get his catches throughout the game as the primary reciever. We do not have anyone on the recieving corps who is a true burner, but we do have hieght, in guys like like Jurivicius and Stevens. We can utilize this hieght to our advantage against the smaller secondary of Washington much the same way that other teams use raw speed. Jerramy Stevens, especially presents matchup problems for the Redskins, as he is too fast for any linebacker of the Skins to cover, and too tall and strong for any corner to cover. Use that advantage! Send Stevens deep and throw to him. So far, in every single game this season Stevens has gotten very open, very deep at least twice, and has not been thrown the ball. Take a shot Hass! Also, Matt Hasselbeck is at his best when he is utilizing multiple recievers, when he throws to five or more diffferent recievers we almost always win.
I feel like reiterating my second monKEY to the entire team about eliminating mental errors in a road game as this has been a week spot for our offense, but I already covered it so I will not put it as a monKEY, but I just had to reemphasise. Turnovers cost games plain and simple, the recievers must run crisp routes and Hass must not try to force the ball into places it doesn't belong. Those kinds of mental lapses (which we have seen in the past on the road) lead to turnovers, which lead to losses.

monKEY #1 Defense: Don't let them beat you deep! It's true that the single most talented player on the Redskins offense is Clinton Portis, it's true that stopping the run will be, as it should be, the focus of our defense; but NOT at the expense of getting beat deep. This reminds me of what I said in week 1 which proved to be prophetic, we can live with them running the ball 20-25 times and getting 80-90 yards, we cannot live with their recievers flying by our secondary for easy scores. Santana Moss can hurt us more in one play, with one catch, than Portis can in twenty carries, if we are not careful. The Redskins showed last week, in a game they should have lost and in which they were badly outplayed, just how dangerous the deep ball can be.
monKEY #2 Defense: Remain aggressive, take the intensity we saw at home and bring it to Washington DON'T PLAY NOT TO LOSE!. No offense to Ray Rhodes, (well maybe a little) but the defense, coincidentally or not, became much more aggressive when Rhodes was not on the sideline; that aggressiveness has won games for us. Never again do I want to see our defense back on their heals playing not to lose. I want to see this defense taking it to their opponents, bringing it like they can, aggressively with intensity. Too often in road games, our defense has looked flat, or looked as if they just didn't want to lose the game, but at home they look much different. Bring the home attitude with to Washington and we will be just fine. Also stop allowing those little 6-8 yard passes uncontested, get up in their facemasks and take those away! I am not sure why our secondary still plays so darn far off the recievers or why we still allow recievers to catch those short passes and then settle for the tackle, SHOW SOME CAJONES, and take that crap away. Heck that could almost be another monKEY but it is all a part of aggressiveness and intensity.

Comments: Like I said earlier, this is a game we should win. We are the superior team talent wise in every aspect of the game to the Skins, we are simply much better. The problem is, on the road, we have not put teams like this away in the past. Can we? Are we capable? I believe that we are, but I need to finally see it.
As I also said before, the Skins will try to take away the run, the key word (or should I say monKEY word)for this week should be PATIENCE. We must remain patient with the run, even when it seems like it is going nowhere. Hasselbeck must remain patient with the pass, and not try to force things, but rather throw it away if need be. If we remain patient, take our shots downfield when they presnet themselves, we will win through attrition if nothing else.
My prediction: Seahawks 21 Redskins 17

11 comments:

  1. a few more thoughts as well.

    The Redskins weakness on D is their secondary. They defense feeds off of disrupting the running lanes and attacking the quarterback. We need to take advantage of our depth at receiver and run many multiple receiver sets to exploit this. This does not mean to get away from running the ball, but this game is a lot more in hasselback's hands as opposed to Alexander's.

    Also, the Redskin O-line has given up 8 sacks in the TWO games they have played. Lets make it 12 sacks in 3. We need to pressure the quarterback, so we can't be beaten deep.  

    Posted by gumbostu

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  2. Agreed 100% I would have included pass pressure as a monKEY but I am ALWAYS saying that, it is like a permanent monKEY for every week and every game with us since our pass pressure is up and down.

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  3. spoken like a true genius, both of you

    for the first time in history...i have nothing to add

    this isnt a good matchup for us...but its a BAD matchup for them...I have a feelin Washington's momentum ended with the bye week, and their confidence will weaken during the first half as Seattle introduces them to paranoya...are they gonna run? pass? if they pass...to who? which of the 500 receivers?

    after a couple TDs...especially if Seattle gets them early...Washington will lose confidence and play like they are surprised and frustrated...thats how teams are after a bye week, especially when the bye week comes at a time when they have momentum...the Redskins will have to dominate the first half, if they want to keep the confidence towards the second half...Seattle just needs to follow the monKEY...dont play not to lose...play to destroy...Washington will be overwhelmed and will have its hands full

    the question is, if the Redskins pulled it off...would that mean they are good...or would that mean we aren't great??? a win is a must...to avoid confusion about our team 

    Posted by adp

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  4. "We need to take advantage of our depth at receiver and run many multiple receiver sets to exploit this. "

    Agree, but for it to work well Hass will have to be on his game. When he has a lot of receivers in pattern he seems to get a little lost, can't make a decision. Should I throw the hot, should I wait for the deep, where is Bobby, etc. Also playing in spread formation helps Shaun for big runs on draws, pitches and screens. Get them stretched out and make the LBs chase Shaun and he'll be effective. Particularly out of a pro-set with Mack to the play side for lead blocking.

    Think Big Show still has "Run the ball" on his clipboard?

    I don't think there will be much of a problem on D, as pointed out all they really have going is the deep ball, which we are vulnerable to, but that has to be the primary concern of the D game plan, so as long as they execute they'll be fine.

    I worry about your score prediction monkey, that looks like an attempted comeback by the Slurs... 

    Posted by JoSCh

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  5. Gotta disagree with running the ball, everything I've heard indicates teh Skins have a pretty damn good run defense, and that being said, I don't see Holmgren's going to Alexander nearly as much as last week against a much less talented run defense in the Cards.

    All I'm saying is that if SA get's stuffed the majority of his first ten rushes don't look to Holmgren to stick with the Post-it on his clip board, especially if the secondary of the Skins is that vulnerable.

    I think Mike's done a nice job of adjusting the playcalling to fit the opponent so far. Let's hope the success continues.

    The D looks very solid thru the first three games. And it stands to reason that 'barring injuries' they shouild continue to gel and perhaps be a dominant D in the league.

    I'm very excited about this weekend's game. Another 'real' test.....An away game. 

    Posted by vinnyhawkalugi

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  6. As always, good points. All I can add is that this game is likely the MASTER KEY  to the whole season.

    It's games like this--on the road with a team the Hawks should beat--that have been the team's downfall. Losing a game like this make winning in STL critical, rather than a luxury. Lose this game and you'll hear:

    "Can't win on the road"
    "Playing down to the competition"
    "Here we go again"

    The Hawks need to expose the Skins for the frauds they are. 

    Posted by bokonon

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  7. "everything I've heard indicates the Skins have a pretty damn good run defense "

    I'd say the same for the Falcons... and the same for Jax, and that game very well could have been won if he had it on his clipboard.

    And I really want to address something that people say that bugs me, passing to open the run or running to open the pass. I don't think either is right, at least not against a good defense. Its calling the right play at the right time, and having the ability to change in the last seconds to account for the look the D gives. Being unpredictable, not Martz unstable, but keep the other team guessing (coaches), and having the ability to recognize and adjust (QB) is something we are not consistent with. Once we are, then we'll be unstoppable with the talent available. But saying Shaun and the line make it easy on D-Jack, or saying D-Jack and Hass and the line (again) make it easy on Shaun is wrong. Good play calling makes everything easier, and balanced play calling that gets the talent involved is what makes this O effective, not any one player or strategy. Shaun Alexander should get about 25 touches a game, Hass should throw about 30 passes a game, 10 targets to D-Jack, at least 5 to Stevens. That is a winning formula. 

    Posted by JoSCh

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  8. Vinny, not to be a stick in the mud, but I completely disagree with you no two things. First, if you go away from the run early, then it allows the Skins the luxury of stiing back and swatting down balls, potentially causing turnovers. NEVER go away from the run just because it is tough going at first. The run is what allows the OLine to lean on and wear out the opposing DLine. Without the run, our OLine is staying back, unaggressive, trying to stop what they are doing, rather than forcing them to stop us. I really couldn't disagree more.
    Also, you really think Holmgren has done a good job adjusting? So far that has been the one thing he has done the worst! The first game he did just what you said, stopped trying to run the ball, and result, we lost. Second game we came out on fire, but in the second half he couldn't make ANY adjustments at all and we damn near gave up yet another big lead. If our D hadn't held we would have lost the game. THe Cards game was the one game where he did actually make adjustments that worked, YAY, 1 for 3 VInny, that's not so good. SO far I give Holmgren a D-, if we didn't have the talent we do, we would have lost the second game because of HOlmgrens refusal to make adjustments. Hell he even addmitted that to the press. He said that it was his fault they were playing not to lose in the second half of games.
    SOrry, not to nitpick, but I just completely disagree on both counts there.

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  9. not to mention being predictable on 3rd and 1s...everyone in the entire USA who knows we exist knows Mack Strong will be running it... 

    Posted by adp

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  10. Too true ADP, and also everyone in the universe knows that if MoMo is in the game he will run a sweep, most likely to the left.
    If we want to start correcting the problem of predictability we need to start leaving Alexander in on third downs. This whole running Strong on third dwon thing is ridiculous and has not worked yet. The MoMo sweep thing has only rarely worked and lately not at all because teams have all caught on to it. C'mon Holmgren, you can do better than that! A child could figure out how to stop your third down plays!

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  11. the only time a 3rd and 1 worked with Mack Strong is when they did a pass to him last week for 8 yards...

    most people would say that he needs to change the play on 3rd and 1 more often, but I think you made a more valid point...putting SA in there gives us a better chance AND could throw the defense off for once...

    same play or not. Then again, changin the play once in awhile is always good...I still would like to see a play action on 2nd and 1 or 3rd and 1...and throw a screen pass...

    there are a few teams that do a play action, then dump it off to the RB when he run pasts the first tackler...that usually nets nice yardage (4-12 yards) and could be a great play on short yardage situations...our team doesn't do it...at least not from what i saw...I highly doubt ANY RB in the league would drop a little dump pass like that (if you guys even know what im talking about)


    Tackler (LB)
    QB
    RB

    play action...the Tackler will bite as if its a run play...then he will notice its a pass play, so he will be wide open for a sack attempt...so he runs towards the QB leaving the RB open...like this

    RB
    Tackler (LB)
    QB

    then dump it off...and the RB gets an easy 4 yards before having to deal with the MLB and S'...if you do this with a TE running with him...he can block for the RB...while have a WR block as well...its not a bad play, and its been affective with teams that do it

    (Atlanta does it pretty often) 

    Posted by adp

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